Viability analysis of the use of commercial indexes of car dealers as predictive indicators of economic crises: comparative double-entry case study

Authors

  • Oscar-Luis Gutiérrez-Aragón Escola Universitària Mediterrani Área de Empresa Centro adscrito a la Universitat de Girona
  • Joan-Francesc Fondevila-Gascón Escola Universitària Mediterrani Área de Empresa Centro adscrito a la Universitat de Girona
  • Pedro Mir-Bernal Universidad de Navarra Departamento de Economía y Empresa

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32826/cude.v42i119.70

Keywords:

economic crisis, Spain, automotive industry, vehicle dealer, prediction

Abstract

In the present research we make a comparative study in detail of the evolution of several commercial indicators linked to the activity of the car dealers located in territories economically depressed during the crises of 1993 and 2008, as well as an analysis of the evolution in the same periods of its financial results and of various socioeconomic variables, at national and local levels, that could affect its activity. It is concluded that the observation and systematic analysis of the deterioration of these data in the pre-crisis phases should help to predict the coming of an economic crisis that will affect to other economic sectors and more favoured geographical areas.

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Published

2018-11-16

Issue

Vol. 42 No. 119 (2019): Pages 81-206 (May-August 2019)

Section

Articles

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